Saturday, 1 October 2011

vehicle theft rate

In calculating the 2006 theft rates, NHTSA followed the same
procedures it used in calculating the MY 2005 theft rates. (For 2005
theft data calculations, see 73 FR 13150, March 12, 2008). As in all
previous reports, NHTSA's data were based on information provided to
NHTSA by the National Crime Information Center (NCIC) of the Federal
Bureau of Investigation. The NCIC is a government system that receives
vehicle theft information from nearly 23,000 criminal justice agencies
and other law enforcement authorities throughout the United States. The
NCIC data also include reported thefts of self-insured and uninsured
vehicles, not all of which are reported to other data sources.

The final 2006 theft data show an increase in the vehicle theft
rate when compared to the theft rate experienced in CY/MY 2005. The
final theft rate for MY 2006 passenger vehicles stolen in calendar year
2006 increased to 2.08 thefts per thousand vehicles produced, an
increase of 12.4 percent from the rate of 1.85 thefts per thousand
vehicles experienced by MY 2005 vehicles in CY 2005. NHTSA is not
overly concerned about this increase in the overall theft rate. The
data has shown an overall decreasing trend in theft rates since CY
1993, with periods of increase from one year to the next. As explained
in the publication of preliminary theft data, if the final data, for
calendar year/model year (CY/MY) 2006 showed a second year of increase,
the agency would explore what could be the possible causes for these
elevations. The agency also welcomed comments on the cause for this
increase but no comments were received. Therefore, as indicated by the
publication of preliminary theft rate data, the agency will continue to
monitor this theft rate pattern and explore the possible reasons for
the elevation in theft rates experienced during MY/CY 2005-2006.

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